Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.272994e-03 0.001429 0.001584 0.001751 0.001925 0.002099 0.002288
2025-10-26 1.017802e-03 0.001242 0.001474 0.001728 0.001997 0.002274 0.002577
2025-11-02 8.147541e-04 0.001088 0.001379 0.001705 0.002059 0.002426 0.002834
2025-11-09 6.545086e-04 0.000964 0.001304 0.001694 0.002123 0.002576 0.003084
2025-11-16 5.265110e-04 0.000863 0.001245 0.001692 0.002192 0.002725 0.003328
2025-11-23 4.206602e-04 0.000777 0.001194 0.001693 0.002259 0.002867 0.003562
2025-11-30 3.636270e-04 0.000743 0.001200 0.001755 0.002390 0.003077 0.003866
2025-12-07 2.819238e-04 0.000668 0.001151 0.001749 0.002441 0.003197 0.004069
2025-12-14 1.998157e-04 0.000581 0.001080 0.001713 0.002455 0.003271 0.004219
2025-12-21 1.580955e-04 0.000545 0.001070 0.001745 0.002544 0.003429 0.004459
2025-12-28 1.009588e-04 0.000473 0.001009 0.001714 0.002557 0.003497 0.004598
2026-01-04 6.866512e-05 0.000435 0.000988 0.001729 0.002622 0.003623 0.004799
2026-01-11 2.432261e-05 0.000362 0.000930 0.001712 0.002670 0.003753 0.005033
2026-01-18 6.930297e-07 0.000294 0.000872 0.001695 0.002718 0.003884 0.005269
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000232 0.000815 0.001676 0.002763 0.004012 0.005503
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000182 0.000769 0.001668 0.002819 0.004151 0.005749
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000141 0.000730 0.001668 0.002883 0.004299 0.006003
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000106 0.000696 0.001670 0.002948 0.004446 0.006257
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000095 0.000705 0.001731 0.003086 0.004679 0.006606
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000065 0.000668 0.001726 0.003139 0.004810 0.006838
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000034 0.000613 0.001690 0.003152 0.004891 0.007012
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000023 0.000605 0.001723 0.003250 0.005073 0.007300
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000006 0.000557 0.001692 0.003265 0.005154 0.007471